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We have created a new vehicle for investing in a pure-timber play, perhaps without putting up any cash at all, but merely by being able and willing to do so at specified times and under certain conditions. The vehicle is a Liquidity Insurance Contract (LIC). We have described below its useful economic role, its availability, and how it works.

Basis for the LIC is the Pine Plantation Investment Contract (PPICâ ), an installment-purchase contract that conveys to its owner all pine trees growing or to be grown on selected tracts of land. The PPIC owner, therefore, owns the trees without sinking capital into the land under them. Details of 29 PPIC’s offered for sale are posted on http://www.se-timbersales.com/; a summary of all of them is included with each. They range in size from 40 to 270 acres, in cost from $42,070 to $356,984, and in remaining duration from 11 to 22 years.

Investors in PPIC’s agree to make a series of annual payments to the landowners. In return they receive a small cash income when the trees are thinned at Age 12 and a very large one when they are harvested at Age 22. They are attracted by substantial returns from timber growth, internal compounding without taxation, deductibility of expenses, and classification of incomes as long-term gains.

They do not expect or want to liquidate their investments prematurely. On the other hand, some investors in assets with distant maturities worry that at times in the future they may face unexpected financial emergencies in which they could be badly hurt if they cannot quickly raise cash. Their PPIC’s cash flows begin at age 12, and although premature sales would eliminate the chance to make the predicted returns, the trees can be sold at any age thereafter. Prior to age 12, however, substantial cash can be raised only by selling the PPIC’s, and there is so far no established market for them.

LIC’s solve this problem. Underwriters of LIC’s agree to buy PPIC’s for specified prices at specified times in exchange for fees paid by Investors. These fees include cash in advance plus purchase prices significantly below the predicted value of the PPIC’s. Investors thus sacrifice some yield in exchange for more liquidity. Whenever they decide that the protection is no longer needed, they can cancel their LIC’s at each year-end.

Obviously, LIC’s are not available until PPIC Investors want them. The first PPIC Investor chose not to purchase one, and there are no PPIC Investors now standing in line. On the other hand, we believe that, if we could announce in advance the terms of an LIC offered for each PPIC, they would be standing in line.

PPMC offers each PPIC for sale at a specified price; it now solicits offer to underwrite LIC’s on each PPIC at specific prices. The attached sheets illustrate how both PPIC’s and LIC’s work by showing cash flow for both parties in a typical situation.

I’ve sent this material to you because, over the past few years, you have shown an interest in timber investments. I hope that either vehicle will attract you. If it does or if you need more information, please give me a call at 800+455-4568.

 

LIQUIDITY INSURANCE FOR PINE PLANTATION INVESTMENT CONTRACTSâ

The greatest obstacle to investment in Pine Plantation Investment Contracts (PPIC’sâ ) is the lack of liquidity before the trees grow large enough to sell in normal timber markets. Since PPIC’s are installment purchase contracts that create ownership of trees, but not the land under them, on certain tracts and since there is now no regular market for such contracts, an investor cannot liquidate by selling out while the trees are still small. While it is creating a regular market for PPIC’s, Pine Plantation Management Company LLC (PPMC) seeks to find an institution or individual to underwrite Liquidity Insurance Contracts (LIC).

AL93270WG_ is a PPIC on 270 acres of a pine plantation in Bullock County, Alabama now finishing its seventh growing season. The schedule of cash flows for it is attached, and maps, photos, and other details appear on http://www.se-timbersales.com/. Details of an LIC for it appear below:

CALCULATION OF HYPOTHETICAL LIQUIDITY INSURANCE CONTRACT FOR AL93270WG_***

Assumptions: Investor will buy LIC’s at prices in Column C
Investor will earn 2% on his cash outlay including cost of LIC’s
Value of PPIC will increase at 11.85% per annum

 

If NPV takes LIC on 12/31

Date
1/1/?

A
Investment
at 1/1

B1
Annual
Payment

B2
NPV
of AP

C
INV's
Total
Cost
A+B2

D
LIC Value
at 12/31
C x 1.02

E
UNDW pays
B1-B2

F
UNDW pays

Investor

G
Est. Val of PPIC
(Prev. Gx
1.1185)+B1#

H
UNDW Cost

Of PPIC
E+F**

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

99

88,420

36,720

36,000

124,420

126,908

720

126,908

135,618

127,628

00

126,908

"

"

162,908

166,166

"

166,166

188,409

166,886

01

166,166

"

"

202,166

206,209

"

206,209

247,455

206,929

02

206,209

"

"

242,209

247,053

"

247,053

313,498

247,773

03

247,053

"

"

283,053

288,714

"

288,714

387,368

289,434

*If LIC is exercised, these are sale prices to new investor.
**Net Cost is less by whatever UNDW earns on B2 ($36,000 advance payment) each year.
***UNDW’s obligation is cancelled in proportion to tree values lost by fire, windstorm, or insect attack.

We do not believe that the Investor will buy LIC’s after the 11th growing season. In the 12th season (2004), he must make the Annual Payment of $36,720 and pay $27,000 for fertilization, but he will receive $99,681 in net thinning proceeds. At 12/31/04, his total cost will be $288,714 + $36,720 + $27,000 – $99,681 = $252,733. Estimated market value of the remaining timber will be $171,720. Its estimated annual compound value increase for the next ten years is 27.3%, a remarkable return resulting from genetic improvement, expert thinning, fertilization, and growth from pulpwood into sawtimber.

The cash-flow schedule shows that the Net Present Value of the PPIC is $356,984. PPMC will pay a 5% fee or $17,849 to anyone who refers to it an Investor who buys a PPIC. PPMC will handle all details of closing the sale with the Investor; the mere referral is all that is necessary to earn the 5% fee. If the referral comes from the LIC underwriter, it will earn the 5%. If it comes from a broker whose client does not require an LIC, he will earn the 5%. If the broker’s client requires an LIC, the 5% will be split between the underwriter and the broker. As additional compensation, the Underwriter will receive the right to acquire the PPIC at reduced prices if the LIC is exercised (see Column H above). It will also receive whatever it can earn on the advance payment of $36,000 over the $720 it must pay out one year later.

 

CASH

FLOW

CHART

for AL93270WG_

from

www.se-

timbersales

.com

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Model

VFIN2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

New

Installment

Purchase

Contract

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Plantation

Payment

Interest*

Principal

Bentley

Balance

Dividend**

Other

Description

1999

01-Jan

356,984

 

 

 

 

356,984

 

 

AL93270WG_ Start Rotation

 

01-Jan

 

88,420

 

 

 

268,564

 

 

AL93270WG_ LumpSum

 

31-Dec

 

36,720

31,829

4,890

 

263,673

 

 

Annual Payments

2000

31-Dec

 

36,720

31,250

5,469

 

258,204

 

 

Annual Payments

2001

31-Dec

 

36,720

30,601

6,118

 

252,085

 

 

Annual Payments

2002

31-Dec

 

36,720

29,876

6,843

 

245,242

 

 

Annual Payments

2003

31-Dec

 

36,720

29,065

7,654

 

237,588

 

 

Annual Payments

2004

31-Dec

 

 

 

 

 

 

99,681

 

AL93270WG_ Dividend

 

31-Dec

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

27,000

AL93270WG_ Fert

 

31-Dec

 

36,720

28,158

8,561

 

229,027

 

 

Annual Payments

2005

31-Dec

 

36,720

27,143

9,576

 

219,451

 

 

Annual Payments

2006

31-Dec

 

36,720

26,008

10,711

 

208,740

 

 

Annual Payments

2007

31-Dec

 

36,720

24,739

11,980

 

196,759

 

 

Annual Payments

2008

31-Dec

 

36,720

23,319

13,400

 

183,359

 

 

Annual Payments

2009

31-Dec

 

36,720

21,731

14,988

 

168,370

 

 

Annual Payments

2010

31-Dec

 

36,720

19,955

16,764

 

151,605

 

 

Annual Payments

2011

31-Dec

 

36,720

17,968

18,751

 

132,853

 

 

Annual Payments

2012

31-Dec

 

36,720

15,745

20,974

 

111,879

 

 

Annual Payments

2013

31-Dec

 

36,720

13,259

23,460

 

88,419

 

 

Annual Payments

2014

31-Dec

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,921,274

 

AL93270WG_Dividend

 

31-Dec

 

36,720

10,479

26,240

 

62,178

 

 

Annual Payments

2015

31-Dec

 

36,720

7,369

29,350

 

32,827

 

 

Annual Payments

2016

31-Dec

 

36,720

3,890

32,829

 

-1

 

 

Annual Payments

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The costs in this schedule are fixed; proceeds from timber sales will surely be different.
* These interest amounts are deductible expenses for PPMC Members, but may not be for other owners in other situations.
**The surpluses above cost basis in these timber sales are long-term gains for PPMC Members, but their cost basis is small because they deduct interest costs.

Estimated compound, annual return from timber growth along = 11.85%