VARDAMAN VIRTUAL FORESTRY COMPANYThe Most Direct Link to Knowledge Workers in the Southeast Forest Economy |
| Home |
| Friday Report |
| PTAEDA2V |
| Selling Land/Timber |
| Investments |
| Pine Plantations |
| Genetics |
| Fertilization |
| Stumpage Prices |
| JMV's Book |
| Links |
|
A PROFESSIONAL INVESTMENT ADVISOR DISCUSSES TIMBERLAND INVESTMENTSDouglas Donnell is Vice
President, National Manager, of the division of Bank of America Private Bank
that offers timber management and advisory service. He has a Master’s degree in forestry and
served with Georgia-Pacific Corporation and Wachovia Bank before joining BofA
five years ago. His question on our
Discussion Forum started the valuable discussion that led to Warren Flick’s
article. Since his clients
constitute an important market for timberland, we interviewed him to learn their
requirements. JMV: What does BofA’s
Private Bank do, and do all banks have one? DD: The Private Bank is a
major division of BofA and serves all the needs of very affluent investors,
i.e., persons with an investment portfolio of $1,000,000 or more. These needs include loans, various types
of accounts, trusts, and advice on all sorts of investments. I think that most banks have such a
division or at least one experienced officer who specializes in this
work. JMV: How much capital is
managed by U.S. banks in this way? DD: I can’t even guess, but I am sure that it is large and growing rapidly. Dr. Flick is certainly right in pointing out the effect of years of good times. JMV: Describe what you do
when a client is considering a typical investment in
timberland. DD: Usually our client has
been thinking and reading about timberland for quite a while, has found a tract
that seems attractive, and asks what we think of it. From the start of our relationship, we
have known what his investment goals are and thus can express an opinion about
whether the tract fits this plan.
Knowing what the goals are is especially important in managing trust
accounts for which the decisions are made solely by the
bank. If he is still interested,
the next step is to find a qualified appraiser to determine the values of the
various components. Timberland
presents an unusual valuation problem because there are both biological and
financial aspects. We must be sure
about both the volume of timber and the value of it. With these facts in hand, we can usually
quantify the cash flows through the investment so that our client can make an
informed decision. JMV: Where do you find the
values that you seek? DD: That’s what so tough
about our job. Pension funds
investing tens of millions of dollars can usually learn the facts about a dozen
or so comparable transactions.
Price reports issued by Timber Mart South are quite helpful in evaluating
the present and future values of the timber component, and studies by several
academics provide some level of comfort on the same values for bare
land. But we are working with
transactions of perhaps $100,000 to $2,000,000, and there might be hundreds of
comparable trades. Then average
timber values over a wide area aren’t much help. Furthermore, amenity values (beauty,
suitability for weekend retreats, guesses about future growth of urban areas,
etc.) are always involved. Then the
secrecy surrounding many of these transactions almost eliminates our ability to
advise on their suitability as investments. JMV: In such cases what do
your clients do? DD: These investors are
accustomed to instantaneous valuations and the historical performance indexes of
more traditional asset classes, so the lack of data on the major components of
timberland raises their discomfort level so high that they invest their funds
elsewhere. We think that they
thereby miss opportunities that would bring them much profit and pleasure, but
we can’t do anything about this as long as we are flying blind. The timber buyer who chewed you out for
announcing the bids obviously profits from an inefficient market, but this
attitude makes many sophisticated investors uncomfortable with the asset
class. |